Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.002660 0.002844 0.003042 0.003273 0.003536 0.003828 0.004181
2024-10-20 0.002302 0.002535 0.002800 0.003128 0.003529 0.004012 0.004654
2024-10-27 0.002116 0.002384 0.002701 0.003114 0.003651 0.004348 0.005365
2024-11-03 0.001889 0.002156 0.002481 0.002915 0.003501 0.004299 0.005541
2024-11-10 0.001806 0.002093 0.002451 0.002948 0.003651 0.004671 0.006409
2024-11-17 0.001747 0.002052 0.002443 0.003004 0.003836 0.005121 0.007537
2024-11-24 0.001668 0.001978 0.002383 0.002979 0.003893 0.005378 0.008414
2024-12-01 0.001629 0.001953 0.002386 0.003042 0.004090 0.005904 0.010060
2024-12-08 0.001571 0.001899 0.002342 0.003029 0.004162 0.006222 0.011413
2024-12-15 0.001507 0.001832 0.002276 0.002975 0.004156 0.006388 0.012484
2024-12-22 0.001484 0.001819 0.002287 0.003040 0.004362 0.007029 0.015464
2024-12-29 0.001459 0.001803 0.002290 0.003092 0.004553 0.007695 0.019393
2025-01-05 0.001409 0.001750 0.002240 0.003059 0.004593 0.008060 0.022938
2025-01-12 0.001341 0.001670 0.002144 0.002944 0.004458 0.007961 0.024097
2025-01-19 0.001305 0.001634 0.002114 0.002937 0.004540 0.008463 0.030315
2025-01-26 0.001231 0.001540 0.001989 0.002759 0.004250 0.007866 0.027353
2025-02-02 0.001211 0.001524 0.001985 0.002789 0.004401 0.008577 0.037810
2025-02-09 0.001196 0.001515 0.001992 0.002841 0.004605 0.009549 0.061117
2025-02-16 0.001167 0.001483 0.001960 0.002818 0.004639 0.009990 0.086489
2025-02-23 0.001156 0.001478 0.001970 0.002875 0.004868 0.011269 0.248753
2025-03-02 0.001131 0.001452 0.001946 0.002864 0.004931 0.011951 1.147991
2025-03-09 0.001101 0.001417 0.001903 0.002815 0.004894 0.012191 NaN
2025-03-16 0.001093 0.001414 0.001916 0.002873 0.005142 0.013965 NaN